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Bitcoin has loved six weeks of its newest “value discovery uptrend” — however a correction is now due.
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Analysis reveals that in earlier halving cycles, BTC value tends to halt its second uptrend after 5 to seven weeks.
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A brand new dip now would nonetheless enable recent all-time highs in This fall.
Bitcoin (BTC) could begin the final week of its newest “value discovery uptrend” on Monday with the value caught under $120,000.
New findings launched Sunday by fashionable dealer and analyst Rekt Capital present that BTC value is operating out of time to make new highs.
Bitcoin hits basic “value discovery correction” zone
Bitcoin dangers preserving its current $124,500 all-time excessive in place — if it follows historic patterns.
Updating X followers on bull market progress, Rekt Capital famous that Bitcoin is about to start out the seventh week of its second “value discovery uptrend” since its 2024 halving.
After every halving occasion, the next bull market accommodates a succession of such uptrends, every accompanied by a correction. The timing of every part all through Bitcoin’s lifespan has been roughly comparable.
“Historically, Bitcoin Price Discovery Uptrend 1 tends to finish between Week 6 & 8 of its uptrend. Whereas in Price Discovery Uptrend 2, Bitcoin tends to finish its uptrend between Week 5 & 7,” Rekt Capital summarized.
“Week 7 of Price Discovery Uptrend 2 begins tomorrow.”
A linked chart from earlier within the 12 months reveals a possible upside goal for the second uptrend at just under $160,000.
“But if we predict critically about earlier Price Discovery Corrections throughout the cycles… Then solely considered one of them began in Week 8 (2017), considered one of them began in Week 6 (2021) and and two of them began in Week 7 (2013 and 2025),” a e-newsletter on the subject noticed in July.
In 2025, Bitcoin’s first corrective part took the value from close to $110,000 to beneath $75,000 — a roughly 30% drawdown not unusual in earlier halving cycles.
New BTC value all-time excessive in This fall?
Continuing, fellow dealer Daan Crypto Trades famous that BTC/USD has not but delivered a “inexperienced” August and September back-to-back.
Related: Ether unstaking queue hits $3.8B: What does it imply for ETH value?
However, a dip may type the pretext for a bigger cycle prime to return towards the top of the 12 months.
“We are inclined to see a fast flush adopted by an explosive This fall in a lot of the bull market years,” a part of an X submit said Sunday.
“Any bigger flushes within the subsequent 1-2 months can be welcomed and will very nicely be the final bigger dip for the This fall finish of the 12 months rally which we see so usually. If not, that is tremendous too however I believe it could pull ahead an even bigger excessive timeframe prime as nicely.”
Data from monitoring useful resource CoinGlass reveals BTC/USD up 2.1% in August, already barely above the 1.8% common. September, against this, has on common delivered a 3.8% value drawdown.
This article doesn’t include funding recommendation or suggestions. Every funding and buying and selling transfer includes threat, and readers ought to conduct their very own analysis when making a choice.
