Ethereum Longs at Risk? Analyst Warns of Recurring Weekly Liquidation Pattern

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Ethereum (ETH) lately broke via to a brand new all-time excessive above $4,900 earlier than present process a correction. As of now, the asset trades at $4,520, reflecting an 8.9% pullback from its peak however nonetheless up 7.6% over the previous week.

The transfer follows weeks of sturdy upward momentum that returned ETH to cost ranges unseen for the reason that 2021 bull cycle. While Ethereum’s long-term development stays upward, analysts are inspecting short-term patterns to clarify the market’s present volatility.

One such perspective comes from XWIN Research Japan, a contributor to CryptoQuant’s QuickTake platform, highlighting how recurring liquidation cycles are shaping ETH’s worth motion, notably across the starting of every week.

Ethereum’s “Monday Trap” and the Risks of Excessive Leverage

According to the evaluation, Ethereum’s leveraged markets present a recurring rhythm tied to liquidation occasions. Leveraged lengthy positions, bets that the value will proceed rising, have usually been caught in sudden reversals, forcing liquidations that amplify downward strikes.

During April and June 2025, ETH noticed lengthy liquidations spike past 300,000 ETH in a single day as sharp downturns triggered cascading sell-offs. XWIN Research Japan famous a hanging weekly sample: Mondays persistently present the best liquidation volumes, adopted by Sundays and Fridays.

Ethereum weekly lengthy liquidations. | Source: CryptoQuant

In distinction, Saturdays document the bottom, seemingly as a result of decreased market exercise. This cycle, also known as the “Monday Trap,” means that merchants carrying leveraged positions from the weekend are notably susceptible as soon as institutional and retail flows re-enter early within the week.

“Carrying weekend optimism into Monday’s higher-volume classes is dangerous,” the analyst noticed, emphasizing that short-term leverage magnifies losses in predictable methods.

For long-term traders, this cycle is much less about worth path and extra about understanding the dangers of extreme leverage in a extremely liquid market.

Technical Levels and Broader Market Outlook

From a technical standpoint, Ethereum’s worth correction is being carefully monitored. A market analyst often known as Crypto Patel lately posted on X that ETH has retraced from $4,957 to $4,400, noting $3,900–$4,000 as a powerful assist zone.

According to Patel, holding this degree might open a path towards larger worth ranges of $6,000–$8,000. However, if assist breaks, draw back ranges of $3,500 and even $3,200 stay attainable.

The interplay between leveraged liquidations and key technical assist ranges could outline Ethereum’s trajectory within the coming months. Historical information present that enormous outflows from exchanges usually precede sustained rallies, whereas inflows sometimes sign promoting strain.

Recent trade netflow information for ETH has leaned towards outflows, suggesting that traders are withdrawing cash into self-custody, a habits usually related to long-term confidence fairly than instant promoting.

At the identical time, institutional demand for Ethereum continues to strengthen, bolstered by ongoing discussions about staking integration inside regulated monetary merchandise akin to ETFs.

Ethereum (ETH) price chart on TradingView
ETH worth is transferring upwards on the 2-hour chart. Source: ETH/USDT on TradingView.com

Featured picture created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView





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